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For the past three years we have extensively used preferred stocks
in portfolios because we have felt that interest rates were likely
to remain low. The preferreds we favor have paid dividends ranging
between 7.8% and 10%, which are very nice returns in a relatively
stable investment. We utilized preferreds for this dividend yield,
not seeking any capital appreciation although in many cases we got
both. In this column I will discuss how preferreds work, what to
seek in evaluating them, and why I think the time is still good
for investing in preferreds despite rising interest rates.
There are two kinds of stock: the best known variety is common
stock, which is what is usually referred to when people
talk of owning stock in a company. Corporations can also issue preferred
stock, which is a class of stock that is given preferences,
such as for dividends or liquidation of the company should the company
dissolve and its assets be distributed among its shareholders. Preferred
stock is a type of debt – the company is borrowing money from
those who own it. The shares have a “coupon”, which
is the rate of interest the preferred stock pays. The preferred
stock often has a call date – a date after which the company
can pay off the preferred stock at a predetermined par value (usually
the original cost per share). The call date protects the company
in case interest rates decline and the company is in a position
to borrow money at an interest rate that is lower than the coupon
of its preferred stock. Many preferreds have no maturity date, as
bonds do, so that the preferred shares can be perpetual.
As an example: company X wants to raise $100 million for expansion.
One way they can do this would be to issue preferred shares with
a 7% coupon (the coupon is determined by the company’s financial
strength and the general level of interest rates), callable at par
in five years (par is generally $25). Those preferred shares are
sold in the public market and the $100 million goes into the company’s
treasury. Every year thereafter, the company will pay $7 million
in interest to the preferred shareholders (paid quarterly). The
price of the shares, which usually start to trade at $25, can go
up or down, depending on the movement of interest rates and if the
company has any particularly good or bad news. Most preferred stocks
have been trading at slight premiums the last few years as declining
interest rates moved prices up, much like other fixed income assets.
At the end of five years, if interest rates have declined and the
company believes it can issue new preferred shares with a lower
coupon than 7%, they may issue the new preferred shares –
say at 6%. The money raised from this new offering would then be
used to pay off the older shares, which is known as “calling”
those shares. If an investor paid more than $25 for the shares,
there will be a slight capital loss as that investor will receive
$25 for the shares. Because of this, investors must be careful to
take into account the call date and the price paid for the preferred
shares. Investors who gauge these factors accurately have done very
well over the last three years, outperforming equities by a wide
margin. Even if the shares are bought at a slight premium and are
called, in many cases the high yielding dividend more than compensates
for the slight loss of principal.
In evaluating preferred stock, we look for the following:
- Companies that are healthy financially and have solid cash
flows;
- Coupons that are attractive in light of the risk of investing
in this company;
- Preferred shares that are not trading at a very high premium
if there is a good chance the shares will be called;
- Companies that are not likely to suffer calamitous losses
or events that would cause the company to suspend the dividend.
(Preferred stock dividends are usually cumulative, meaning that
any suspended dividend must be paid before any dividend is paid
to the common shareholders.)
Preferred Stock of REIT’s
A sector where we have done quite well buying preferred stock is
REIT’s. We like their preferreds because many REIT’s
have substantial cash flows and predictable income, and pay a common
share dividend that provides a layer of protection for the preferreds
– since the common dividend would have to be suspended before
the preferred dividend would be suspended.
The REIT’s whose preferreds we have been buying the last
three years pay dividends of 7.8% to 10%, which we have found very
attractive in the interest rate environment during these years.
These securities have risks – they can decline in price if
the company has bad earnings, the dividend is perceived to be in
question or some catastrophe befalls the company. Naturally we evaluate
these companies to judge the likelihood of any such events.
Interest Rate Movements
Preferreds will decline in price if interest rates spike up. But
the decline is far less than for bonds. Preferreds tend to trade
in a narrow range, which is something else we like about them. When
interest rates rose recently, the prices of the preferreds in our
portfolios declined only slightly.
While interest rates have risen in the last couple of months and
may go a little higher, we expect interest rates to remain relatively
low until at least after the election (Presidential, not Recall!).
We think that the incumbent will exert enormous pressure on the
Fed to keep rates low to spur an economic recovery through the election.
That gives us a good amount of time to continue to capture returns
that we think will be higher than equities returns over this same
period, while avoiding the risks associated with equities investments.
Summary
Few investors understand how preferred stocks work. During the
last three years, while equities were declining sharply and equities
markets were extremely volatile, we were able to produce returns
of 8% - 10% for clients by investing in preferred stocks. These
fixed income assets pay attractive yields and generally do not fluctuate
a great deal in price. Investors mistakenly flocked to bonds when
interest rates were at 45 year lows – they should have been
investing in preferreds.
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